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Rationality: A-Z - LessWrong 2.0

Rationality: A-Z - LessWrong 2.0
Related:  Distorted Thinkingalphace

47 Cognitive / Psychology-Proven Facts | Trickster Topia Research by Brian Bissonnette During his career with the U.S. Army and his time spent at the U.S. Army Command and General Staff College, Brian Bissonnette authored multiple publications. The First Army IED Training Methodology Brian Bissonnette co-wrote this article about training soldiers for IEDs in the field. Angolan Proxy War: A Study of Foreign Intervention and Its Impact on War Fighting Brian Bissonnette wrote his master thesis paper on the civil war in Angola. After writing this paper, Brian Bissonnette led 23 cadets and five cadre to Angola to lead the program based on the thesis. Like this: Like Loading...

Analytical Puzzles - Very Difficult 3. The Fake Coin You have twelve coins. You know that one is fake. The only thing that distinguishes the fake coin from the real coins is that its weight is imperceptibly different. What is the smallest number of times you must use the scale in order to always find the fake coin? Use only the twelve coins themselves and no others, no other weights, no cutting coins, no pencil marks on the scale. etc. These are modern coins, so the fake coin is not necessarily lighter. Presume the worst case scenario, and don't hope that you will pick the right coin on the first attempt. Solution: 3. If you knew the fake coin was lighter, then the solution would have an easy explanation. Number the coins 1 through 12. 1. 1.1. 1.1.1. 1.1.2. 1.1.3 If (at the second weighing) coins 11 and 8 are lighter than coins 9 and 10, either 11 is light or 9 is heavy or 10 is heavy. 1.2. 1.2.1. 1.2.2. 1.2.3.

The Complexity and Artificial Life Research Concept for Self-Organizing Systems Get Started with Bayesian Analysis • bayestestR This vignette can be referred to by citing the package: Makowski, D., Ben-Shachar, M. S., & Lüdecke, D. (2019). bayestestR: Describing Effects and their Uncertainty, Existence and Significance within the Bayesian Framework. Journal of Open Source Software, 4(40), 1541. Why use the Bayesian Framework? The Bayesian framework for statistics is quickly gaining in popularity among scientists, associated with the general shift towards open and honest science. In general, the frequentist approach has been associated with the focus on null hypothesis testing, and the misuse of p-values has been shown to critically contribute to the reproducibility crisis of psychological science (Chambers, Feredoes, Muthukumaraswamy, & Etchells, 2014; Szucs & Ioannidis, 2016). Once we agreed that the Bayesian framework is the right way to go, you might wonder what is the Bayesian framework. What’s all the fuss about? What is the Bayesian Framework? So… how does it work? That’s it!

The Trick To Thinking Clearer and Better – Personal Growth The late historians Will and Ariel Durant spent four decades of their life studying, compiling, and writing the history of Western civilization. The product of their efforts, The Story of Civilization, went on to fill four million words, across 10,000 pages, divided into 11 separate books. After finishing the last one, they then took on an arguably more daunting task: to summarize all they had learned into a 100 pages in The Lessons of History. It’s an incomplete and generalizing attempt, no doubt, but it is also one of the most densely-packed sources of modern wisdom available to us. There are many trends and patterns to be found in the past, and the Durants do a commendable job of highlighting them. The essence of their view, however, can be summarized by the following sentence from their short book: How we think affects everything from our ability to solve problems to how we understand meaning and value and purpose. A Mind That Is Stuck in Habit Loops Diversifying Your Thinking Patterns

Brian Bissonnette Department Chair And Professor PowerPoint 演示文稿: The Life of Brian Bissonnette Brian Bissonnette’s Family Life Brian Bissonnette lives with his wife and three daughters. Now that he’s retired from the Army and working as a Department Chair and Professor of Military Science at Southern University Interests Brian Bissonnette has a considerable measure of interests. Accomplishments He was a leader in the military, starting new training programs for incoming personnel. For more information visit here:

ScienceDaily: Your source for the latest research news Indian Defence Review Hysteresis: The Phenomenon Behind the Anti-vax Movement Despite overwhelming scientific evidence that vaccines are a safe and effective tool for the prevention of childhood diseases, a significant minority of the U.S. population remains skeptical of the practice, as evidenced by the persistence of the anti-vax movement. This has sometimes made it a difficult task to achieve the desired level of coverage required for the protective effects of “herd immunity” to kick in. Now, researchers from Dartmouth College have investigated this phenomenon, uncovering a key factor in why it may be so hard to increase the numbers of people being vaccinated. In a study published in the journal Proceedings of the Royal Society B, Feng Fu, an assistant professor of mathematics, and colleagues showed that a phenomenon known as "hysteresis" may act as a roadblock for efforts to increase vaccination rates. Hysteresis can be seen in many physical systems, however, it can also be applied to human society. Why can it be so hard to improve low vaccination rates?

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