How Long Does It Take to Develop an Investing Style? Someone who reads my articles asked me this question: Hey Geoff, How long did it take you to develop your own style? Tom I’m an odd case. I got started investing when I was 14. I first learned about value investing when my dad brought home an article about Ben Graham. There is a reason why I talk about things like comfort with a stock and Warren Buffett’s 20 punches. It’s not that I abstractly believe that investing like you get to make only 20 investment decisions for the rest of your life will work well. I was born in 1985. So, it’s not like I learned about stocks first and businesses second. When I was growing up, my mom was basically the second officer at a family-controlled company. I never thought about buying a stock purely because of its P/E ratio or tangible book value or PEG ratio or earnings growth or whatever because I hadn’t read any investing books and I hadn’t heard the only person I knew in business – my mom – ever use words like that. What did I know? · Activision (ATVI) · Like
Afraid to Trade.com Blog - Overcoming Stock Market Fears » Classic Gap Fade Tactic Works Again Just after noon Eastern, the major US indexes complete the 1, 2, 3, Gap Fade tactic, which has been working extremely well over the last few months. As a refresher, any time a gap occurs on (especially) the Dow Jones (or DIA) that is less than 100 points, the strategy that I find that works best is the following: Enter short (if it is – as in this case – an upwards gap) and play for the target of yesterday’s close (with a stop about 30 to 45 points above your entry)If the gap does fill (price returns to yesterday’s close) then flip your position and play for a retest of the gap opening price with a stop about 25 to 35 points below entry.Exit at the retest only of today’s gap open price Caveat, if your stop is hit on the initial gap-fade trade (or if price consolidates for over an hour or more) then flip your position and put on a larger position and play for a larger win (the underlying imbalance was so strong and is now expected to continue)
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How to Know a Stock Is Cheap Enough to Buy Someone who reads my articles asked me this question : {*style:<i> <b>Micropac ( MPAD ) </b> sells at 83% of NCAV, has similar (slightly better) z- and f-scores, a FCF margin of 6%, but has ROA of 28%. </i>*} <b>ADDvantage ( AEY ) </b> sells at 95% of NCAV, has similar (in the ballpark) scores and FCF and ROA of 23%. There’s a great post over at Oddball Stocks called: “ A Stock is a Business ”. Here’s what Richard said in a post called “ Giving Up on Mastery of the Universe ”: So, if someone says simply, “At less than its book value, I’m comfortable buying DreamWorks. If you believe most decent businesses are worth at least 12 times earnings, you don’t have to drive yourself crazy trying to figure out whether Company A which is superior to Company B is a better buy at 11 times earnings than Company B is at 7 times earnings. Now, let’s look at net-nets. Yes. That leaves us with a pretty simple arbitrary rule. So… Yes. I’m not saying this because the cheapest net-nets are the worst. Good.
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